BBAI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($4.08)
DCF	$6.46	+58.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -4.8%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $141.60M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -20.1% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 21.41%

Computed WACC: 21.41%

Cost of equity (Re)21.96%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.21 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)15.46%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.31%

Debt weight (D/V)5.69%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$2.87

Current Price$4.08

Upside / Downside-29.8%

Net Debt (used)-$473.77M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$6.51	$7.62	$8.91	$10.40	$12.11
8.0%	$5.54	$6.43	$7.46	$8.66	$10.04
9.0%	$4.86	$5.60	$6.46	$7.46	$8.60
10.0%	$4.37	$5.00	$5.73	$6.58	$7.55
11.0%	$3.99	$4.54	$5.17	$5.90	$6.74

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.45

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $1.40

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$4.08

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 21.41%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 21.41%

Cost of equity (Re)21.96%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.21 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)15.46%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)94.31%

Debt weight (D/V)5.69%

Results

Current Price$4.08

Implied Near-term FCF Growth16.6%

Historical Revenue Growth-20.1%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$141.60M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$4.08

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$47.39M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -26.5×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$473.77M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$3.78

Current Price$4.08

Upside / Downside-7.6%

Implied EV$1.25B

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