BCSF

BCSF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.91)
DCF$-2.38-118.5%
Graham Number$23.74+83.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 14.9%
DDM$34.61+168.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $72.46M
Rev: -7.4% / EPS: -43.5%
Computed: 5.63%
Computed WACC: 5.63%
Cost of equity (Re)7.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.63%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)35.88%
Debt weight (D/V)64.12%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$18.99
Current Price$12.91
Upside / Downside+47.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.43B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-2.21$1.79$6.44$11.82$18.03
8.0%$-5.73$-2.51$1.23$5.55$10.52
9.0%$-8.17$-5.49$-2.38$1.21$5.33
10.0%$-9.96$-7.68$-5.03$-1.97$1.53
11.0%$-11.33$-9.35$-7.05$-4.40$-1.37

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.44
Yahoo: $17.40

Results

Graham Number$23.74
Current Price$12.91
Margin of Safety+83.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.63%
Computed WACC: 5.63%
Cost of equity (Re)7.75%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.63 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.63%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)35.88%
Debt weight (D/V)64.12%

Results

Current Price$12.91
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.5%
Historical Revenue Growth-7.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-43.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$72.46M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.68

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$34.61
Current Price$12.91
Upside / Downside+168.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $1.43B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-21.99
Current Price$12.91
Upside / Downside-270.4%
Implied EV$0