BDL

BDL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($33.70)
DCF$145616656805984.22+432096904468695.9%
Graham Number$1388.58+4020.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM$11.33-66.4%
EV/EBITDA$38.82+15.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.93B
Rev: 5.1% / EPS: 1363.7%
Computed: 5.01%
Computed WACC: 5.01%
Cost of equity (Re)8.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.60%
Debt weight (D/V)42.40%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$524546877069082.69
Current Price$33.70
Upside / Downside+1556518923053557.8%
Net Debt (used)$23.14M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1355.7%1359.7%1363.7%1367.7%1371.7%
7.0%$241126600130713.41$244457717565523.16$247825548697074.63$251230396170853.84$254672564291013.34
8.0%$181710113266811.38$184220403380794.31$186758360495694.97$189324212681514.78$191918189258206.06
9.0%$141725715062679.44$143683628418673.88$145663120790484.81$147664370062449.63$149687555093810.84
10.0%$113305483802867.03$114870777140258.52$116453322257058.59$118053261366486.86$119670737461170.67
11.0%$92292720765681.28$93567726831432.69$94856785294014.81$96160011992873.91$97477523402321.02

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.11
Yahoo: $27554.99

Results

Graham Number$1388.58
Current Price$33.70
Margin of Safety+4020.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.01%
Computed WACC: 5.01%
Cost of equity (Re)8.69%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.80 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.60%
Debt weight (D/V)42.40%

Results

Current Price$33.70
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth5.1%
Historical Earnings Growth1363.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.93B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.55

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$11.33
Current Price$33.70
Upside / Downside-66.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $11.91B
Current: 0.0×
Default: $23.14M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$38.82
Current Price$33.70
Upside / Downside+15.2%
Implied EV$95.29M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.98B-$976.86M$23.14M$1.02B$2.02B
-4.0x$-24518.83$-25056.85$-25594.88$-26132.91$-26670.93
-2.0x$-11701.98$-12240.00$-12778.03$-13316.06$-13854.08
0.0x$1114.87$576.85$38.82$-499.21$-1037.23
2.0x$13931.72$13393.70$12855.67$12317.64$11779.62
4.0x$26748.57$26210.55$25672.52$25134.49$24596.47