BDTX

BDTX — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.43)
DCF$5.19+113.7%
Graham Number$4.29+76.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.43-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $10.25M
Rev: — / EPS: —
Computed: 20.26%
Computed WACC: 20.26%
Cost of equity (Re)23.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.56%
Debt weight (D/V)12.44%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3.17
Current Price$2.43
Upside / Downside+30.5%
Net Debt (used)-$115.83M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$5.22$5.86$6.61$7.48$8.48
8.0%$4.65$5.17$5.77$6.47$7.27
9.0%$4.26$4.69$5.19$5.77$6.44
10.0%$3.97$4.34$4.77$5.26$5.82
11.0%$3.75$4.07$4.44$4.87$5.36

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.37
Yahoo: $2.21

Results

Graham Number$4.29
Current Price$2.43
Margin of Safety+76.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 20.26%
Computed WACC: 20.26%
Cost of equity (Re)23.14%(Rf 4.30% + β 3.43 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.56%
Debt weight (D/V)12.44%

Results

Current Price$2.43
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$10.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.43
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $15.15M
Current: 1.5×
Default: -$115.83M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.43
Current Price$2.43
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$22.61M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.12B-$1.12B-$115.83M$884.17M$1.88B
-2.5x$36.47$18.92$1.37$-16.18$-33.74
-0.5x$37.00$19.45$1.90$-15.65$-33.20
1.5x$37.53$19.98$2.43$-15.12$-32.67
3.5x$38.06$20.51$2.96$-14.59$-32.14
5.5x$38.60$21.04$3.49$-14.06$-31.61