BF-A

BF-A — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.62)
DCF$44.74+56.3%
Graham Number$18.41-35.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.5%
DDM$18.95-33.8%
EV/EBITDA$80.47+181.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $562.25M
Rev: -5.4% / EPS: -13.9%
Computed: 6.03%
Computed WACC: 6.03%
Cost of equity (Re)6.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.79%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.36%
Debt weight (D/V)16.64%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$94.60
Current Price$28.62
Upside / Downside+230.5%
Net Debt (used)$2.33B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$45.24$57.18$71.07$87.15$105.66
8.0%$34.73$44.34$55.51$68.41$83.25
9.0%$27.45$35.45$44.74$55.45$67.76
10.0%$22.11$28.93$36.84$45.95$56.42
11.0%$18.01$23.95$30.81$38.70$47.76

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.71
Yahoo: $8.81

Results

Graham Number$18.41
Current Price$28.62
Margin of Safety-35.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.03%
Computed WACC: 6.03%
Cost of equity (Re)6.48%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.40 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)4.79%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)83.36%
Debt weight (D/V)16.64%

Results

Current Price$28.62
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-9.3%
Historical Revenue Growth-5.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-13.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$562.25M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.92

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$18.95
Current Price$28.62
Upside / Downside-33.8%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.17B
Current: 13.5×
Default: $2.33B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$80.47
Current Price$28.62
Upside / Downside+181.2%
Implied EV$15.90B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$328.00M$1.33B$2.33B$3.33B$4.33B
9.5x$64.48$58.55$52.62$46.69$40.76
11.5x$78.40$72.47$66.54$60.61$54.68
13.5x$92.33$86.40$80.47$74.54$68.61
15.5x$106.25$100.32$94.39$88.46$82.53
17.5x$120.18$114.25$108.32$102.39$96.46