BFAM

BFAM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($74.87)
DCF$70.05-6.4%
Graham Number$42.79-42.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 9.6%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$72.96-2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $254.45M
Rev: 8.8% / EPS: -23.6%
Computed: 8.54%
Computed WACC: 8.54%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.75%
Debt weight (D/V)29.25%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$77.95
Current Price$74.87
Upside / Downside+4.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.62B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term0.8%4.8%8.8%12.8%16.8%
7.0%$73.01$93.06$116.27$143.03$173.73
8.0%$54.30$70.35$88.93$110.31$134.82
9.0%$41.36$54.67$70.05$87.73$107.97
10.0%$31.88$43.19$56.24$71.22$88.36
11.0%$24.65$34.43$45.70$58.64$73.41

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.38
Yahoo: $24.08

Results

Graham Number$42.79
Current Price$74.87
Margin of Safety-42.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.54%
Computed WACC: 8.54%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)70.75%
Debt weight (D/V)29.25%

Results

Current Price$74.87
Implied Near-term FCF Growth8.3%
Historical Revenue Growth8.8%
Historical Earnings Growth-23.6%
Base FCF (TTM)$254.45M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$74.87
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $456.83M
Current: 12.6×
Default: $1.62B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$72.96
Current Price$74.87
Upside / Downside-2.5%
Implied EV$5.74B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.62B$1.62B$1.62B$1.62B$1.62B
8.6x$40.65$40.65$40.65$40.65$40.65
10.6x$56.81$56.81$56.81$56.81$56.81
12.6x$72.96$72.96$72.96$72.96$72.96
14.6x$89.12$89.12$89.12$89.12$89.12
16.6x$105.27$105.27$105.27$105.27$105.27