BFLY — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($3.71)
DCF	$7.92	+113.5%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 25.2%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $12.72M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 41.0% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 16.74%

Computed WACC: 16.74%

Cost of equity (Re)17.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.33 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)97.87%

Debt weight (D/V)2.13%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$3.10

Current Price$3.71

Upside / Downside-16.3%

Net Debt (used)-$130.09M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	33.0%	37.0%	41.0%	45.0%	49.0%
7.0%	$9.24	$10.59	$12.11	$13.81	$15.71
8.0%	$7.38	$8.44	$9.62	$10.95	$12.43
9.0%	$6.11	$6.96	$7.92	$8.99	$10.19
10.0%	$5.19	$5.90	$6.69	$7.58	$8.57
11.0%	$4.50	$5.09	$5.77	$6.52	$7.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.33

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.77

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$3.71

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 16.74%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 16.74%

Cost of equity (Re)17.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.33 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)97.87%

Debt weight (D/V)2.13%

Results

Current Price$3.71

Implied Near-term FCF Growth45.6%

Historical Revenue Growth41.0%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$12.72M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$3.71

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$54.16M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -15.7×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$130.09M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$4.33

Current Price$3.71

Upside / Downside+16.8%

Implied EV$850.23M

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