BFS-PD

BFS-PD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.98)
DCF
Graham Number$13.79-34.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 65.0%
DDM$31.52+50.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $73.95M
Rev: 10.6% / EPS: -29.2%
Computed: 10.88%
Computed WACC: 10.88%
Cost of equity (Re)9.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)15.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.10%
Debt weight (D/V)52.90%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$20.98
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%18.6%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.69
Yahoo: $5.00

Results

Graham Number$13.79
Current Price$20.98
Margin of Safety-34.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.88%
Computed WACC: 10.88%
Cost of equity (Re)9.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)15.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)47.10%
Debt weight (D/V)52.90%

Results

Current Price$20.98
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth10.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-29.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$73.95M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.53

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$31.52
Current Price$20.98
Upside / Downside+50.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $174.43M
Current: 14.1×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share
Current Price$20.98
Upside / Downside
Implied EV$2.46B