BFS

BFS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($34.23)
DCF$8.52-75.1%
Graham Number$11.33-66.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.8%
DDM$48.62+42.0%
EV/EBITDA$48.87+42.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $73.95M
Rev: 10.6% / EPS: -29.2%
Computed: 11.00%
Computed WACC: 11.00%
Cost of equity (Re)9.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)15.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.37%
Debt weight (D/V)57.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-9.96
Current Price$34.23
Upside / Downside-129.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.59B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%18.6%
7.0%$11.46$26.41$43.68$63.55$86.31
8.0%$-2.87$9.08$22.87$38.72$56.85
9.0%$-12.76$-2.88$8.52$21.60$36.55
10.0%$-20.00$-11.62$-1.97$9.09$21.73
11.0%$-25.52$-18.29$-9.96$-0.43$10.45

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.14
Yahoo: $5.00

Results

Graham Number$11.33
Current Price$34.23
Margin of Safety-66.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.00%
Computed WACC: 11.00%
Cost of equity (Re)9.52%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)15.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)42.37%
Debt weight (D/V)57.63%

Results

Current Price$34.23
Implied Near-term FCF Growth21.3%
Historical Revenue Growth10.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-29.2%
Base FCF (TTM)$73.95M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.36

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$48.62
Current Price$34.23
Upside / Downside+42.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $174.43M
Current: 16.0×
Default: $1.59B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$48.87
Current Price$34.23
Upside / Downside+42.8%
Implied EV$2.79B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B$1.59B
12.0x$20.29$20.29$20.29$20.29$20.29
14.0x$34.58$34.58$34.58$34.58$34.58
16.0x$48.87$48.87$48.87$48.87$48.87
18.0x$63.16$63.16$63.16$63.16$63.16
20.0x$77.45$77.45$77.45$77.45$77.45