BG

BG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($120.61)
DCF$-25456.53-21206.5%
Graham Number$95.51-20.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$57.68-52.2%
EV/EBITDA$128.45+6.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$7.11B
Rev: 75.5% / EPS: -88.8%
Computed: 7.58%
Computed WACC: 7.58%
Cost of equity (Re)8.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.09%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.55%
Debt weight (D/V)40.45%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-35330.82
Current Price$120.61
Upside / Downside-29393.4%
Net Debt (used)$13.86B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term67.5%71.5%75.5%79.5%83.5%
7.0%$-32710.93$-36772.95$-41230.61$-46112.17$-51447.20
8.0%$-25293.37$-28426.98$-31865.50$-35630.69$-39745.33
9.0%$-20250.17$-22752.73$-25498.53$-28504.92$-31790.08
10.0%$-16624.81$-18673.87$-20921.86$-23382.98$-26072.07
11.0%$-13911.46$-15621.22$-17496.78$-19549.96$-21793.11

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.93
Yahoo: $82.23

Results

Graham Number$95.51
Current Price$120.61
Margin of Safety-20.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.58%
Computed WACC: 7.58%
Cost of equity (Re)8.39%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.74 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.09%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.55%
Debt weight (D/V)40.45%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$120.61
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth75.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-88.8%
Base FCF (TTM)-$7.11B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.80

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$57.68
Current Price$120.61
Upside / Downside-52.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.10B
Current: 18.5×
Default: $13.86B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$128.45
Current Price$120.61
Upside / Downside+6.5%
Implied EV$38.72B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$7.86B$10.86B$13.86B$16.86B$19.86B
14.5x$116.15$100.65$85.15$69.64$54.14
16.5x$137.81$122.30$106.80$91.30$75.79
18.5x$159.46$143.96$128.45$112.95$97.45
20.5x$181.11$165.61$150.10$134.60$119.10
22.5x$202.76$187.26$171.76$156.25$140.75