BGC

BGC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($9.83)
DCF$-2.19-122.3%
Graham Number$3.91-60.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$1.65-83.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 32.0% / EPS: -42.5%
Computed: 7.13%
Computed WACC: 7.13%
Cost of equity (Re)9.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.12%
Debt weight (D/V)27.88%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-2.19
Current Price$9.83
Upside / Downside-122.3%
Net Debt (used)$794.42M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term24.0%28.0%32.0%36.0%40.0%
7.0%$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19
8.0%$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19
9.0%$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19
10.0%$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19
11.0%$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19$-2.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.33
Yahoo: $2.06

Results

Graham Number$3.91
Current Price$9.83
Margin of Safety-60.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.13%
Computed WACC: 7.13%
Cost of equity (Re)9.88%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.01 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)72.12%
Debt weight (D/V)27.88%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$9.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth32.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-42.5%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.08

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$1.65
Current Price$9.83
Upside / Downside-83.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $794.42M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-2.19
Current Price$9.83
Upside / Downside-122.3%
Implied EV$0