BGLC — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($2.48)
DCF	$-13.89	-661.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$2.02M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -3.3% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 16.20%

Computed WACC: 16.20%

Cost of equity (Re)16.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.28 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.16%

Debt weight (D/V)3.84%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-5.92

Current Price$2.48

Upside / Downside-339.1%

Net Debt (used)-$2.66M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-14.02	$-17.08	$-20.64	$-24.77	$-29.52
8.0%	$-11.32	$-13.79	$-16.65	$-19.96	$-23.77
9.0%	$-9.46	$-11.51	$-13.89	$-16.64	$-19.80
10.0%	$-8.09	$-9.84	$-11.87	$-14.20	$-16.89
11.0%	$-7.04	$-8.56	$-10.32	$-12.34	$-14.66

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-1.28

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $3.79

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$2.48

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 16.20%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 16.20%

Cost of equity (Re)16.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.28 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)96.16%

Debt weight (D/V)3.84%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$2.48

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-3.3%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$2.02M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$2.48

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$2.33M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$2.66M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.01

Current Price$2.48

Upside / Downside-18.6%

Implied EV$2.10M

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