BGMSP

BGMSP — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($3.30)
DCF$-4898651792800445.00-148443993721225696.0%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$12.36+274.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$9.98M
Rev: 710.0% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4898651792800445.00
Current Price$3.30
Upside / Downside-148443993721225696.0%
Net Debt (used)-$3.83M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term702.0%706.0%710.0%714.0%718.0%
7.0%$-7908729221008973.00$-8107931345676575.00$-8311127344952767.00$-8518376976030088.00$-8729740589216796.00
8.0%$-5968235305450774.00$-6118560947400871.00$-6271900521057552.00$-6428299121489986.00$-6587802291355101.00
9.0%$-4661474930109143.00$-4778886350359471.00$-4898651792800445.00$-5020806478789010.00$-5145385979268988.00
10.0%$-3731952450747119.50$-3825951386715008.00$-3921834939269439.50$-4019631306417277.00$-4119368966042460.50
11.0%$-3044147777135707.00$-3120822533070301.50$-3199034566690349.00$-3278806879041917.00$-3360162699466063.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: —
Yahoo: $2.03

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$3.30
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$3.30
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth710.0%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$9.98M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.36
Current Price$3.30
Upside / Downside+274.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$9.17M
Current: -1.3×
Default: -$3.83M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$15480170.00
Current Price$3.30
Upside / Downside+469095960.6%
Implied EV$11.65M