BGS

BGS — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($5.18)
DCF$8.64+66.8%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.2%
DDM$15.66+202.2%
EV/EBITDA$5.31+2.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $153.93M
Rev: -4.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 1.21%
Computed WACC: 1.21%
Cost of equity (Re)7.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)16.66%
Debt weight (D/V)83.34%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$5.18
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$2.01B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$8.93$15.82$23.84$33.12$43.81
8.0%$2.86$8.41$14.85$22.30$30.87
9.0%$-1.34$3.28$8.64$14.82$21.93
10.0%$-4.42$-0.48$4.08$9.34$15.38
11.0%$-6.78$-3.36$0.60$5.16$10.38

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-3.16
Yahoo: $5.89

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$5.18
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 1.21%
Computed WACC: 1.21%
Cost of equity (Re)7.25%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.54 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)16.66%
Debt weight (D/V)83.34%

Results

Current Price$5.18
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-4.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$153.93M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.76

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.66
Current Price$5.18
Upside / Downside+202.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $261.17M
Current: 9.3×
Default: $2.01B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.31
Current Price$5.18
Upside / Downside+2.5%
Implied EV$2.44B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$11.50M$1.01B$2.01B$3.01B$4.01B
5.3x$17.26$4.75$-7.75$-20.26$-32.76
7.3x$23.79$11.28$-1.22$-13.72$-26.23
9.3x$30.32$17.81$5.31$-7.19$-19.70
11.3x$36.85$24.35$11.84$-0.66$-13.17
13.3x$43.38$30.88$18.37$5.87$-6.63