BGSF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($6.11)
DCF	$74.56	+1120.2%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: -20.0%
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	$6.11	-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $45.30M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -9.8% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 7.93%

Computed WACC: 7.93%

Cost of equity (Re)8.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.03%

Debt weight (D/V)1.97%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$88.72

Current Price$6.11

Upside / Downside+1352.0%

Net Debt (used)-$39.80M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$75.17	$89.65	$106.50	$126.00	$148.46
8.0%	$62.42	$74.08	$87.62	$103.27	$121.27
9.0%	$53.59	$63.30	$74.56	$87.55	$102.48
10.0%	$47.11	$55.39	$64.98	$76.04	$88.72
11.0%	$42.15	$49.34	$57.66	$67.24	$78.22

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.70

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $4.53

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$6.11

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 7.93%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 7.93%

Cost of equity (Re)8.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)98.03%

Debt weight (D/V)1.97%

Results

Current Price$6.11

Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%

Historical Revenue Growth-9.8%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)$45.30M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$6.11

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $6.68M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 4.3×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$39.80M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.11

Current Price$6.11

Upside / Downside-0.0%

Implied EV$28.63M

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	-$2.04B	-$1.04B	-$39.80M	$960.21M	$1.96B
0.3x	$182.30	$93.01	$3.72	$-85.56	$-174.85
2.3x	$183.49	$94.20	$4.92	$-84.37	$-173.66
4.3x	$184.68	$95.40	$6.11	$-83.18	$-172.46
6.3x	$185.88	$96.59	$7.30	$-81.98	$-171.27
8.3x	$187.07	$97.78	$8.50	$-80.79	$-170.08

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