BHR

BHR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.82)
DCF$-15.10-635.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12+46.1%
EV/EBITDA$8.48+200.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: -3.7% / EPS: —
Computed: 7.41%
Computed WACC: 7.41%
Cost of equity (Re)8.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.11%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)15.77%
Debt weight (D/V)84.23%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-15.10
Current Price$2.82
Upside / Downside-635.4%
Net Debt (used)$1.03B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10
8.0%$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10
9.0%$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10
10.0%$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10
11.0%$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10$-15.10

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.87
Yahoo: $2.03

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.82
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.41%
Computed WACC: 7.41%
Cost of equity (Re)8.53%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.77 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)9.11%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)15.77%
Debt weight (D/V)84.23%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$2.82
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth-3.7%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$2.82
Upside / Downside+46.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $137.66M
Current: 11.7×
Default: $1.03B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.48
Current Price$2.82
Upside / Downside+200.8%
Implied EV$1.61B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.03B$1.03B$1.03B$1.03B$1.03B
7.7x$0.41$0.41$0.41$0.41$0.41
9.7x$4.45$4.45$4.45$4.45$4.45
11.7x$8.48$8.48$8.48$8.48$8.48
13.7x$12.52$12.52$12.52$12.52$12.52
15.7x$16.56$16.56$16.56$16.56$16.56