BIRK

BIRK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($42.52)
DCF$13014.56+30508.1%
Graham Number$30.87-27.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 23.1%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$42.52-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $179.75M
Rev: 11.1% / EPS: 152.1%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$12996.78
Current Price$42.52
Upside / Downside+30466.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.12B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term144.1%148.1%152.1%156.1%160.1%
7.0%$18363.85$19917.83$21575.26$23341.23$25220.98
8.0%$14009.33$15194.67$16458.92$17805.93$19239.73
9.0%$11062.69$11998.59$12996.78$14060.31$15192.35
10.0%$8955.52$9713.05$10521.00$11381.82$12298.08
11.0%$7387.36$8012.16$8678.53$9388.50$10144.19

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.39
Yahoo: $17.72

Results

Graham Number$30.87
Current Price$42.52
Margin of Safety-27.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$42.52
Implied Near-term FCF Growth23.1%
Historical Revenue Growth11.1%
Historical Earnings Growth152.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$179.75M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$42.52
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $623.55M
Current: 14.3×
Default: $1.12B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$42.52
Current Price$42.52
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$8.94B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.12B$1.12B$1.12B$1.12B$1.12B
10.3x$28.96$28.96$28.96$28.96$28.96
12.3x$35.74$35.74$35.74$35.74$35.74
14.3x$42.52$42.52$42.52$42.52$42.52
16.3x$49.30$49.30$49.30$49.30$49.30
18.3x$56.08$56.08$56.08$56.08$56.08