BJ

BJ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($99.73)
DCF$-3.12-103.1%
Graham Number$40.26-59.6%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 39.8%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$99.73+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $127.82M
Rev: 4.9% / EPS: -1.7%
Computed: 6.98%
Computed WACC: 6.98%
Cost of equity (Re)6.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.88%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.97%
Debt weight (D/V)17.03%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$4.71
Current Price$99.73
Upside / Downside-95.3%
Net Debt (used)$2.65B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-2.97$0.53$4.60$9.31$14.73
8.0%$-6.05$-3.23$0.04$3.82$8.17
9.0%$-8.18$-5.84$-3.12$0.02$3.63
10.0%$-9.75$-7.75$-5.43$-2.76$0.30
11.0%$-10.95$-9.21$-7.20$-4.88$-2.23

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.34
Yahoo: $16.60

Results

Graham Number$40.26
Current Price$99.73
Margin of Safety-59.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.98%
Computed WACC: 6.98%
Cost of equity (Re)6.32%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.37 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)12.88%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)82.97%
Debt weight (D/V)17.03%

Results

Current Price$99.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth31.5%
Historical Revenue Growth4.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-1.7%
Base FCF (TTM)$127.82M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$99.73
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.10B
Current: 14.2×
Default: $2.65B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$99.73
Current Price$99.73
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$15.70B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$651.99M$1.65B$2.65B$3.65B$4.65B
10.2x$81.27$73.63$65.99$58.34$50.70
12.2x$98.14$90.50$82.86$75.22$67.57
14.2x$115.02$107.37$99.73$92.09$84.45
16.2x$131.89$124.25$116.61$108.96$101.32
18.2x$148.76$141.12$133.48$125.84$118.19