BKE

BKE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($51.02)
DCF$70.74+38.7%
Graham Number$30.60-40.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 3.8%
DDM$28.84-43.5%
EV/EBITDA$51.26+0.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $161.83M
Rev: 9.3% / EPS: 9.1%
Computed: 8.99%
Computed WACC: 8.99%
Cost of equity (Re)10.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.44%
Debt weight (D/V)12.56%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$70.98
Current Price$51.02
Upside / Downside+39.1%
Net Debt (used)$34.76M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.3%5.3%9.3%13.3%17.3%
7.0%$73.22$87.75$104.57$123.94$146.16
8.0%$59.55$71.18$84.63$100.10$117.83
9.0%$50.10$59.74$70.86$83.65$98.28
10.0%$43.19$51.36$60.80$71.63$84.01
11.0%$37.91$44.98$53.12$62.47$73.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $4.09
Yahoo: $10.17

Results

Graham Number$30.60
Current Price$51.02
Margin of Safety-40.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 8.99%
Computed WACC: 8.99%
Cost of equity (Re)10.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)87.44%
Debt weight (D/V)12.56%

Results

Current Price$51.02
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.8%
Historical Revenue Growth9.3%
Historical Earnings Growth9.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$161.83M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$51.02
Upside / Downside-43.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $281.59M
Current: 9.4×
Default: $34.76M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$51.26
Current Price$51.02
Upside / Downside+0.5%
Implied EV$2.66B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.97B-$965.24M$34.76M$1.03B$2.03B
5.4x$68.34$48.79$29.24$9.70$-9.85
7.4x$79.35$59.80$40.25$20.70$1.16
9.4x$90.36$70.81$51.26$31.71$12.17
11.4x$101.37$81.82$62.27$42.72$23.17
13.4x$112.37$92.83$73.28$53.73$34.18