BLBD

BLBD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($56.60)
DCF$95.73+69.1%
Graham Number$27.63-51.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: -0.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$57.62+1.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $127.19M
Rev: 6.1% / EPS: 9.3%
Computed: 11.80%
Computed WACC: 11.80%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.22%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.25%
Debt weight (D/V)4.75%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$67.03
Current Price$56.60
Upside / Downside+18.4%
Net Debt (used)-$152.59M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.3%5.3%9.3%13.3%17.3%
7.0%$98.88$117.37$138.78$163.43$191.70
8.0%$81.48$96.29$113.40$133.09$155.65
9.0%$69.46$81.72$95.88$112.15$130.78
10.0%$60.66$71.06$83.07$96.85$112.61
11.0%$53.94$62.94$73.31$85.19$98.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.96
Yahoo: $8.57

Results

Graham Number$27.63
Current Price$56.60
Margin of Safety-51.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.80%
Computed WACC: 11.80%
Cost of equity (Re)12.07%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.41 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)8.22%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.25%
Debt weight (D/V)4.75%

Results

Current Price$56.60
Implied Near-term FCF Growth6.0%
Historical Revenue Growth6.1%
Historical Earnings Growth9.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$127.19M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$56.60
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $186.89M
Current: 8.9×
Default: -$152.59M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$57.62
Current Price$56.60
Upside / Downside+1.8%
Implied EV$1.67B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.15B-$1.15B-$152.59M$847.41M$1.85B
4.9x$97.27$65.61$33.96$2.31$-29.35
6.9x$109.10$77.44$45.79$14.14$-17.52
8.9x$120.93$89.28$57.62$25.97$-5.69
10.9x$132.76$101.11$69.45$37.80$6.15
12.9x$144.59$112.94$81.29$49.63$17.98