BLMN

BLMN — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($6.12)
DCF$-18.88-408.5%
Graham Number$5.71-6.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 39.9%
DDM$12.36+102.0%
EV/EBITDA$6.16+0.7%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $20.12M
Rev: 0.3% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.11%
Computed WACC: 2.11%
Cost of equity (Re)10.30%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)20.51%
Debt weight (D/V)79.49%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$6.12
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$1.96B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-18.84$-18.00$-17.02$-15.88$-14.57
8.0%$-19.59$-18.91$-18.12$-17.20$-16.15
9.0%$-20.10$-19.54$-18.88$-18.12$-17.25
10.0%$-20.48$-20.00$-19.44$-18.79$-18.05
11.0%$-20.77$-20.35$-19.87$-19.31$-18.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.37
Yahoo: $3.92

Results

Graham Number$5.71
Current Price$6.12
Margin of Safety-6.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.11%
Computed WACC: 2.11%
Cost of equity (Re)10.30%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)20.51%
Debt weight (D/V)79.49%

Results

Current Price$6.12
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth0.3%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$20.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$12.36
Current Price$6.12
Upside / Downside+102.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $294.84M
Current: 8.4×
Default: $1.96B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$6.16
Current Price$6.12
Upside / Downside+0.7%
Implied EV$2.49B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.96B$1.96B$1.96B$1.96B$1.96B
4.4x$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68$-7.68
6.4x$-0.76$-0.76$-0.76$-0.76$-0.76
8.4x$6.16$6.16$6.16$6.16$6.16
10.4x$13.08$13.08$13.08$13.08$13.08
12.4x$20.00$20.00$20.00$20.00$20.00