BSM

BSM — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($15.23)
DCF$191.06+1154.5%
Graham Number$10.61-30.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 17.6%
DDM$26.37+73.1%
EV/EBITDA$16.64+9.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $93.09M
Rev: -11.6% / EPS: 65.5%
Computed: 4.99%
Computed WACC: 4.99%
Cost of equity (Re)5.23%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.45%
Debt weight (D/V)4.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$624.10
Current Price$15.23
Upside / Downside+3997.8%
Net Debt (used)$152.52M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term57.5%61.5%65.5%69.5%73.5%
7.0%$240.91$272.90$308.22$347.10$389.81
8.0%$186.63$211.38$238.70$268.77$301.79
9.0%$149.69$169.51$191.38$215.45$241.89
10.0%$123.09$139.37$157.33$177.09$198.79
11.0%$103.16$116.78$131.81$148.34$166.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.28
Yahoo: $3.91

Results

Graham Number$10.61
Current Price$15.23
Margin of Safety-30.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.99%
Computed WACC: 4.99%
Cost of equity (Re)5.23%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.17 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.45%
Debt weight (D/V)4.55%

Results

Current Price$15.23
Implied Near-term FCF Growth1.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-11.6%
Historical Earnings Growth65.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$93.09M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$26.37
Current Price$15.23
Upside / Downside+73.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $346.66M
Current: 10.6×
Default: $152.52M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.64
Current Price$15.23
Upside / Downside+9.3%
Implied EV$3.69B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.85B-$847.48M$152.52M$1.15B$2.15B
6.6x$19.53$14.82$10.11$5.40$0.69
8.6x$22.80$18.09$13.38$8.67$3.96
10.6x$26.06$21.35$16.64$11.93$7.23
12.6x$29.33$24.62$19.91$15.20$10.49
14.6x$32.59$27.88$23.17$18.47$13.76