BTMD

BTMD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($2.10)
DCF$18.11+762.5%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: -20.0%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$2.47+17.5%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $36.12M
Rev: -6.7% / EPS: -33.3%
Computed: 5.16%
Computed WACC: 5.16%
Cost of equity (Re)10.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.15 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.57%
Debt weight (D/V)51.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$48.32
Current Price$2.10
Upside / Downside+2201.1%
Net Debt (used)$78.36M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$18.29$22.51$27.41$33.09$39.62
8.0%$14.58$17.97$21.92$26.47$31.71
9.0%$12.01$14.84$18.11$21.90$26.24
10.0%$10.12$12.53$15.33$18.54$22.24
11.0%$8.68$10.77$13.20$15.98$19.18

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.79
Yahoo: $-2.37

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$2.10
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.16%
Computed WACC: 5.16%
Cost of equity (Re)10.63%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.15 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.57%
Debt weight (D/V)51.43%

Results

Current Price$2.10
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-20.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-6.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-33.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$36.12M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$2.10
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $38.98M
Current: 4.0×
Default: $78.36M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$2.47
Current Price$2.10
Upside / Downside+17.5%
Implied EV$154.07M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.92B-$921.64M$78.36M$1.08B$2.08B
-0.0x$62.57$29.98$-2.61$-35.21$-67.80
2.0x$65.11$32.52$-0.07$-32.67$-65.26
4.0x$67.65$35.06$2.47$-30.13$-62.72
6.0x$70.20$37.60$5.01$-27.58$-60.18
8.0x$72.74$40.14$7.55$-25.04$-57.64