BTSG

BTSG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($41.58)
DCF$-3126015.83-7518175.6%
Graham Number$10.57-74.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$47.39+14.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$334.85M
Rev: 29.3% / EPS: 338.3%
Computed: 13.85%
Computed WACC: 13.85%
Cost of equity (Re)17.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.46%
Debt weight (D/V)26.54%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1248498.13
Current Price$41.58
Upside / Downside-3002741.0%
Net Debt (used)$2.62B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term330.3%334.3%338.3%342.3%346.3%
7.0%$-4809742.82$-5037482.02$-5273767.43$-5518837.34$-5772934.46
8.0%$-3641510.41$-3813932.43$-3992824.75$-4178367.79$-4370745.30
9.0%$-2853587.24$-2988700.24$-3128883.44$-3274278.22$-3425028.55
10.0%$-2292175.72$-2400705.33$-2513307.55$-2630095.93$-2751186.11
11.0%$-1876002.74$-1964826.21$-2056982.76$-2152565.34$-2251668.60

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.54
Yahoo: $9.20

Results

Graham Number$10.57
Current Price$41.58
Margin of Safety-74.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 13.85%
Computed WACC: 13.85%
Cost of equity (Re)17.10%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.33 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.15%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)73.46%
Debt weight (D/V)26.54%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$41.58
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth29.3%
Historical Earnings Growth338.3%
Base FCF (TTM)-$334.85M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$41.58
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $485.33M
Current: 23.0×
Default: $2.62B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$47.39
Current Price$41.58
Upside / Downside+14.0%
Implied EV$11.17B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$620.43M$1.62B$2.62B$3.62B$4.62B
19.0x$47.71$42.17$36.62$31.08$25.53
21.0x$53.10$47.55$42.01$36.46$30.92
23.0x$58.48$52.93$47.39$41.84$36.30
25.0x$63.86$58.31$52.77$47.23$41.68
27.0x$69.24$63.70$58.15$52.61$47.06