BWXT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($216.47)
DCF	$94.86	-56.2%
Graham Number	$32.91	-84.8%
Reverse DCF	—	implied g: 45.1%
DDM	$21.01	-90.3%
EV/EBITDA	$216.48	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: $132.61M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 18.7% / EPS: 31.1%

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 8.04%

Computed WACC: 8.04%

Cost of equity (Re)8.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)90.57%

Debt weight (D/V)9.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$118.84

Current Price$216.47

Upside / Downside-45.1%

Net Debt (used)$1.56B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	23.1%	27.1%	31.1%	35.1%	39.1%
7.0%	$110.72	$132.18	$156.47	$183.86	$214.65
8.0%	$84.09	$100.95	$120.02	$141.52	$165.67
9.0%	$65.85	$79.56	$95.06	$112.52	$132.14
10.0%	$52.62	$64.05	$76.97	$91.51	$107.84
11.0%	$42.63	$52.34	$63.31	$75.65	$89.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $3.57

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $13.48

Results

Graham Number$32.91

Current Price$216.47

Margin of Safety-84.8%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 8.04%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 8.04%

Cost of equity (Re)8.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.83 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.30%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)90.57%

Debt weight (D/V)9.43%

Results

Current Price$216.47

Implied Near-term FCF Growth41.2%

Historical Revenue Growth18.7%

Historical Earnings Growth31.1%

Base FCF (TTM)$132.61M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.02

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$21.01

Current Price$216.47

Upside / Downside-90.3%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $447.50M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 47.7×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.56B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$216.48

Current Price$216.47

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$21.36B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.56B	$1.56B	$1.56B	$1.56B	$1.56B
43.7x	$196.90	$196.90	$196.90	$196.90	$196.90
45.7x	$206.69	$206.69	$206.69	$206.69	$206.69
47.7x	$216.48	$216.48	$216.48	$216.48	$216.48
49.7x	$226.26	$226.26	$226.26	$226.26	$226.26
51.7x	$236.05	$236.05	$236.05	$236.05	$236.05

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