CAE

CAE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.52)
DCF$17.78-39.8%
Graham Number$15.08-48.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 11.3%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$29.77+0.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $484.35M
Rev: 2.3% / EPS: -35.9%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$17.78
Current Price$29.52
Upside / Downside-39.8%
Net Debt (used)$2.78B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$18.01$23.39$29.66$36.92$45.28
8.0%$13.26$17.60$22.64$28.46$35.16
9.0%$9.98$13.59$17.78$22.61$28.17
10.0%$7.56$10.65$14.21$18.33$23.05
11.0%$5.72$8.39$11.49$15.05$19.14

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.86
Yahoo: $11.75

Results

Graham Number$15.08
Current Price$29.52
Margin of Safety-48.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$29.52
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.3%
Historical Revenue Growth2.3%
Historical Earnings Growth-35.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$484.35M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$29.52
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $980.80M
Current: 12.6×
Default: $2.78B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$29.77
Current Price$29.52
Upside / Downside+0.9%
Implied EV$12.36B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$782.30M$1.78B$2.78B$3.78B$4.78B
8.6x$23.80$20.69$17.58$14.48$11.37
10.6x$29.89$26.79$23.68$20.57$17.46
12.6x$35.99$32.88$29.77$26.67$23.56
14.6x$42.09$38.98$35.87$32.76$29.66
16.6x$48.18$45.07$41.97$38.86$35.75