CAG

CAG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($19.18)
DCF$13.07-31.9%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 8.3%
DDM$28.84+50.4%
EV/EBITDA$19.18-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $787.69M
Rev: -6.8% / EPS: —
Computed: 2.29%
Computed WACC: 2.29%
Cost of equity (Re)4.20%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.62%
Debt weight (D/V)45.38%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$19.18
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$7.58B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$13.32$19.21$26.07$34.01$43.16
8.0%$8.13$12.87$18.39$24.76$32.09
9.0%$4.53$8.49$13.07$18.36$24.44
10.0%$1.89$5.27$9.17$13.67$18.84
11.0%$-0.13$2.80$6.19$10.09$14.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-0.21
Yahoo: $16.91

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$19.18
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.29%
Computed WACC: 2.29%
Cost of equity (Re)4.20%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.02 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)54.62%
Debt weight (D/V)45.38%

Results

Current Price$19.18
Implied Near-term FCF Growth65.0%
Historical Revenue Growth-6.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$787.69M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$19.18
Upside / Downside+50.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.81B
Current: 9.2×
Default: $7.58B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$19.18
Current Price$19.18
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$16.75B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.58B$5.58B$7.58B$9.58B$11.58B
5.2x$12.39$8.21$4.03$-0.15$-4.33
7.2x$19.96$15.78$11.60$7.42$3.24
9.2x$27.54$23.36$19.18$15.00$10.82
11.2x$35.12$30.94$26.75$22.57$18.39
13.2x$42.69$38.51$34.33$30.15$25.97