CAKE

CAKE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($62.95)
DCF$3.49-94.5%
Graham Number$24.60-60.9%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 20.3%
DDM$24.72-60.7%
EV/EBITDA$55.36-12.1%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $118.93M
Rev: 4.4% / EPS: -27.9%
Computed: 5.68%
Computed WACC: 5.68%
Cost of equity (Re)9.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.57%
Debt weight (D/V)40.43%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$47.75
Current Price$62.95
Upside / Downside-24.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.91B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$3.85$12.39$22.33$33.83$47.07
8.0%$-3.67$3.21$11.19$20.42$31.04
9.0%$-8.88$-3.15$3.49$11.15$19.96
10.0%$-12.70$-7.82$-2.16$4.36$11.84
11.0%$-15.63$-11.38$-6.48$-0.83$5.65

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $3.06
Yahoo: $8.79

Results

Graham Number$24.60
Current Price$62.95
Margin of Safety-60.9%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.68%
Computed WACC: 5.68%
Cost of equity (Re)9.54%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.95 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.57%
Debt weight (D/V)40.43%

Results

Current Price$62.95
Implied Near-term FCF Growth7.5%
Historical Revenue Growth4.4%
Historical Earnings Growth-27.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$118.93M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$24.72
Current Price$62.95
Upside / Downside-60.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $333.16M
Current: 14.0×
Default: $1.91B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.36
Current Price$62.95
Upside / Downside-12.1%
Implied EV$4.67B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.91B$1.91B$1.91B$1.91B$1.91B
10.0x$28.64$28.64$28.64$28.64$28.64
12.0x$42.00$42.00$42.00$42.00$42.00
14.0x$55.36$55.36$55.36$55.36$55.36
16.0x$68.73$68.73$68.73$68.73$68.73
18.0x$82.09$82.09$82.09$82.09$82.09