CAL

CAL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.38)
DCF$-67.31-691.4%
Graham Number$16.19+42.2%
Reverse DCF
DDM$5.77-49.3%
EV/EBITDA$11.63+2.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$70.23M
Rev: 6.6% / EPS: -94.1%
Computed: 2.24%
Computed WACC: 2.24%
Cost of equity (Re)7.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)28.64%
Debt weight (D/V)71.36%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$11.38
Upside / Downside
Net Debt (used)$927.14M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-1.4%2.6%6.6%10.6%14.6%
7.0%$-68.01$-76.15$-85.60$-96.52$-109.07
8.0%$-60.67$-67.21$-74.79$-83.53$-93.58
9.0%$-55.58$-61.02$-67.31$-74.56$-82.87
10.0%$-51.86$-56.48$-61.83$-67.99$-75.04
11.0%$-49.00$-53.02$-57.65$-62.97$-69.07

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.64
Yahoo: $18.19

Results

Graham Number$16.19
Current Price$11.38
Margin of Safety+42.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 2.24%
Computed WACC: 2.24%
Cost of equity (Re)7.83%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.64 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)28.64%
Debt weight (D/V)71.36%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.38
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth6.6%
Historical Earnings Growth-94.1%
Base FCF (TTM)-$70.23M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.28

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$5.77
Current Price$11.38
Upside / Downside-49.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $121.64M
Current: 10.9×
Default: $927.14M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.63
Current Price$11.38
Upside / Downside+2.2%
Implied EV$1.32B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.07B-$72.86M$927.14M$1.93B$2.93B
6.9x$56.28$26.78$-2.72$-32.23$-61.73
8.9x$63.46$33.96$4.45$-25.05$-54.55
10.9x$70.64$41.13$11.63$-17.87$-47.37
12.9x$77.81$48.31$18.81$-10.69$-40.20
14.9x$84.99$55.49$25.99$-3.52$-33.02