CAPL

CAPL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($20.59)
DCF$1.57-92.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 15.4%
DDM$43.26+110.1%
EV/EBITDA$21.39+3.9%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $49.82M
Rev: -8.5% / EPS: -40.5%
Computed: 5.72%
Computed WACC: 5.72%
Cost of equity (Re)6.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.57%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.95%
Debt weight (D/V)51.05%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$25.23
Current Price$20.59
Upside / Downside+22.6%
Net Debt (used)$814.78M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$1.77$6.45$11.89$18.19$25.45
8.0%$-2.35$1.42$5.79$10.85$16.67
9.0%$-5.20$-2.07$1.57$5.77$10.60
10.0%$-7.30$-4.62$-1.52$2.05$6.15
11.0%$-8.90$-6.58$-3.89$-0.79$2.75

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.21
Yahoo: $-2.68

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. BVPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$20.59
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.72%
Computed WACC: 5.72%
Cost of equity (Re)6.28%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.36 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)6.57%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.95%
Debt weight (D/V)51.05%

Results

Current Price$20.59
Implied Near-term FCF Growth3.4%
Historical Revenue Growth-8.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-40.5%
Base FCF (TTM)$49.82M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.10

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$43.26
Current Price$20.59
Upside / Downside+110.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $143.58M
Current: 11.4×
Default: $814.78M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.39
Current Price$20.59
Upside / Downside+3.9%
Implied EV$1.63B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.19B-$185.22M$814.78M$1.81B$2.81B
7.4x$58.79$32.56$6.33$-19.91$-46.14
9.4x$66.32$40.09$13.86$-12.37$-38.61
11.4x$73.86$47.62$21.39$-4.84$-31.07
13.4x$81.39$55.16$28.92$2.69$-23.54
15.4x$88.92$62.69$36.46$10.23$-16.01