CAT

CAT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($742.83)
DCF$393.00-47.1%
Graham Number$139.18-81.3%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 28.0%
DDM$124.42-83.3%
EV/EBITDA$742.83-0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.84B
Rev: 18.0% / EPS: -11.4%
Computed: 11.40%
Computed WACC: 11.40%
Cost of equity (Re)12.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.55 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.75%
Debt weight (D/V)11.25%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$251.43
Current Price$742.83
Upside / Downside-66.2%
Net Debt (used)$34.73B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.0%14.0%18.0%22.0%26.0%
7.0%$429.83$523.10$630.02$752.07$890.82
8.0%$330.81$404.82$489.59$586.28$696.12
9.0%$262.66$323.44$393.00$472.28$562.28
10.0%$213.01$264.17$322.67$389.30$464.89
11.0%$175.30$219.18$269.31$326.36$391.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $18.79
Yahoo: $45.82

Results

Graham Number$139.18
Current Price$742.83
Margin of Safety-81.3%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 11.40%
Computed WACC: 11.40%
Cost of equity (Re)12.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.55 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)88.75%
Debt weight (D/V)11.25%

Results

Current Price$742.83
Implied Near-term FCF Growth35.4%
Historical Revenue Growth18.0%
Historical Earnings Growth-11.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$5.84B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $6.04

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$124.42
Current Price$742.83
Upside / Downside-83.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $13.96B
Current: 27.2×
Default: $34.73B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$742.83
Current Price$742.83
Upside / Downside-0.0%
Implied EV$380.35B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$16.73B$25.73B$34.73B$43.73B$52.73B
23.2x$661.49$642.15$622.81$603.46$584.12
25.2x$721.50$702.16$682.82$663.47$644.13
27.2x$781.51$762.17$742.83$723.49$704.14
29.2x$841.52$822.18$802.84$783.50$764.15
31.2x$901.53$882.19$862.85$843.51$824.16