CBRL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($32.29)
DCF	$-65.05	-301.5%
Graham Number	$17.88	-44.6%
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	$20.60	-36.2%
EV/EBITDA	$32.29	+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$12.54M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -5.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 4.14%

Computed WACC: 4.14%

Cost of equity (Re)11.26%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.26 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)36.74%

Debt weight (D/V)63.26%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-94.65

Current Price$32.29

Upside / Downside-393.1%

Net Debt (used)$1.23B

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-65.14	$-67.15	$-69.49	$-72.20	$-75.32
8.0%	$-63.37	$-64.99	$-66.87	$-69.04	$-71.54
9.0%	$-62.14	$-63.49	$-65.05	$-66.86	$-68.93
10.0%	$-61.24	$-62.39	$-63.72	$-65.26	$-67.02
11.0%	$-60.55	$-61.55	$-62.71	$-64.04	$-65.56

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $0.74

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $19.20

Results

Graham Number$17.88

Current Price$32.29

Margin of Safety-44.6%

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 4.14%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 4.14%

Cost of equity (Re)11.26%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.26 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)36.74%

Debt weight (D/V)63.26%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$32.29

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-5.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$12.54M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: $1.00

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$20.60

Current Price$32.29

Upside / Downside-36.2%

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: $161.28M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: 12.1×

Net Debt($B)Default: $1.23B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$32.29

Current Price$32.29

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$1.95B

Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)

Mult \ Net Debt	$1.23B	$1.23B	$1.23B	$1.23B	$1.23B
8.1x	$3.40	$3.40	$3.40	$3.40	$3.40
10.1x	$17.85	$17.85	$17.85	$17.85	$17.85
12.1x	$32.29	$32.29	$32.29	$32.29	$32.29
14.1x	$46.74	$46.74	$46.74	$46.74	$46.74
16.1x	$61.19	$61.19	$61.19	$61.19	$61.19

← Overview Financial Statements ← Companies