CCJ

CCJ — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($125.74)
DCF$180.06+43.2%
Graham Number$16.07-87.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 38.4%
DDM$3.50-97.2%
EV/EBITDA$125.74+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $479.94M
Rev: 1.5% / EPS: 45.3%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$180.37
Current Price$125.74
Upside / Downside+43.5%
Net Debt (used)-$201.50M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term37.3%41.3%45.3%49.3%53.3%
7.0%$215.44$248.03$284.49$325.16$370.39
8.0%$168.80$194.20$222.62$254.30$289.53
9.0%$136.95$157.45$180.37$205.93$234.33
10.0%$113.95$130.91$149.87$171.00$194.48
11.0%$96.64$110.94$126.92$144.72$164.50

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.99
Yahoo: $11.60

Results

Graham Number$16.07
Current Price$125.74
Margin of Safety-87.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$125.74
Implied Near-term FCF Growth38.4%
Historical Revenue Growth1.5%
Historical Earnings Growth45.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$479.94M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.17

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$3.50
Current Price$125.74
Upside / Downside-97.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $911.29M
Current: 59.9×
Default: -$201.50M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$125.74
Current Price$125.74
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$54.56B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.20B-$1.20B-$201.50M$798.50M$1.80B
55.9x$121.96$119.67$117.37$115.08$112.78
57.9x$126.15$123.85$121.56$119.26$116.96
59.9x$130.33$128.04$125.74$123.44$121.15
61.9x$134.52$132.22$129.93$127.63$125.33
63.9x$138.70$136.41$134.11$131.81$129.52