CCK

CCK — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($116.11)
DCF$117.21+0.9%
Graham Number$61.90-46.7%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 7.6%
DDM$28.84-75.2%
EV/EBITDA$118.87+2.4%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $909.50M
Rev: 7.7% / EPS: -56.4%
Computed: 5.60%
Computed WACC: 5.60%
Cost of equity (Re)8.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.45%
Debt weight (D/V)31.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$306.77
Current Price$116.11
Upside / Downside+164.2%
Net Debt (used)$5.41B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-0.3%3.7%7.7%11.7%15.7%
7.0%$121.45$155.07$194.05$239.04$290.71
8.0%$90.58$117.54$148.77$184.76$226.05
9.0%$69.22$91.60$117.48$147.27$181.41
10.0%$53.57$72.60$94.58$119.85$148.78
11.0%$41.62$58.10$77.11$98.94$123.91

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $6.37
Yahoo: $26.74

Results

Graham Number$61.90
Current Price$116.11
Margin of Safety-46.7%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 5.60%
Computed WACC: 5.60%
Cost of equity (Re)8.18%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)68.45%
Debt weight (D/V)31.55%

Results

Current Price$116.11
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-4.0%
Historical Revenue Growth7.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-56.4%
Base FCF (TTM)$909.50M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$116.11
Upside / Downside-75.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.08B
Current: 9.1×
Default: $5.41B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$118.87
Current Price$116.11
Upside / Downside+2.4%
Implied EV$18.89B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.41B$4.41B$5.41B$6.41B$7.41B
5.1x$63.07$54.26$45.44$36.63$27.81
7.1x$99.79$90.97$82.15$73.34$64.52
9.1x$136.50$127.68$118.87$110.05$101.23
11.1x$173.21$164.40$155.58$146.76$137.95
13.1x$209.93$201.11$192.29$183.48$174.66