CCL

CCL — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($29.14)
DCF$103.36+254.7%
Graham Number$20.63-29.2%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 19.3%
DDM$3.09-89.4%
EV/EBITDA$32.57+11.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.55B
Rev: 6.6% / EPS: 35.8%
Computed: 10.46%
Computed WACC: 10.46%
Cost of equity (Re)17.73%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.00%
Debt weight (D/V)41.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$75.31
Current Price$29.14
Upside / Downside+158.4%
Net Debt (used)$26.06B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term27.8%31.8%35.8%39.8%43.8%
7.0%$123.15$146.55$172.94$202.57$235.76
8.0%$92.64$110.97$131.63$154.82$180.79
9.0%$71.76$86.62$103.36$122.16$143.19
10.0%$56.64$69.00$82.91$98.52$115.99
11.0%$45.23$55.71$67.49$80.71$95.49

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.02
Yahoo: $9.36

Results

Graham Number$20.63
Current Price$29.14
Margin of Safety-29.2%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 10.46%
Computed WACC: 10.46%
Cost of equity (Re)17.73%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.44 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)59.00%
Debt weight (D/V)41.00%

Results

Current Price$29.14
Implied Near-term FCF Growth23.6%
Historical Revenue Growth6.6%
Historical Earnings Growth35.8%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.55B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.15

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$3.09
Current Price$29.14
Upside / Downside-89.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $7.15B
Current: 9.3×
Default: $26.06B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$32.57
Current Price$29.14
Upside / Downside+11.8%
Implied EV$66.34B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$12.06B$19.06B$26.06B$33.06B$40.06B
5.3x$20.77$15.11$9.45$3.79$-1.87
7.3x$32.33$26.67$21.01$15.35$9.69
9.3x$43.89$38.23$32.57$26.91$21.25
11.3x$55.45$49.79$44.13$38.47$32.81
13.3x$67.01$61.35$55.69$50.03$44.37