CCNE

CCNE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($28.01)
DCF$8.77-68.7%
Graham Number$36.29+29.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$15.04-46.3%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 80.5% / EPS: 65.7%
Computed: 6.19%
Computed WACC: 6.19%
Cost of equity (Re)8.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.39%
Debt weight (D/V)24.61%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$8.77
Current Price$28.01
Upside / Downside-68.7%
Net Debt (used)-$258.40M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term72.5%76.5%80.5%84.5%88.5%
7.0%$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77
8.0%$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77
9.0%$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77
10.0%$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77
11.0%$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77$8.77

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.10
Yahoo: $27.87

Results

Graham Number$36.29
Current Price$28.01
Margin of Safety+29.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.19%
Computed WACC: 6.19%
Cost of equity (Re)8.21%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)75.39%
Debt weight (D/V)24.61%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$28.01
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth80.5%
Historical Earnings Growth65.7%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.73

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$15.04
Current Price$28.01
Upside / Downside-46.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$258.40M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$8.77
Current Price$28.01
Upside / Downside-68.7%
Implied EV$0