CDIO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($5.26)
DCF	$-33.76	-741.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$3.85M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: -56.6% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 15.93%

Computed WACC: 15.93%

Cost of equity (Re)16.58%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.23 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)3.83%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.18%

Debt weight (D/V)4.82%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-14.48

Current Price$5.26

Upside / Downside-375.4%

Net Debt (used)-$5.87M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	-3.0%	1.0%	5.0%	9.0%	13.0%
7.0%	$-34.08	$-41.62	$-50.39	$-60.55	$-72.24
8.0%	$-27.44	$-33.51	$-40.56	$-48.71	$-58.09
9.0%	$-22.85	$-27.90	$-33.76	$-40.53	$-48.30
10.0%	$-19.47	$-23.78	$-28.78	$-34.53	$-41.14
11.0%	$-16.88	$-20.63	$-24.96	$-29.95	$-35.67

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-11.91

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $4.61

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$5.26

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 15.93%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 15.93%

Cost of equity (Re)16.58%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.23 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)3.83%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)95.18%

Debt weight (D/V)4.82%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$5.26

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth-56.6%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$3.85M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$5.26

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$6.15M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -0.6×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$5.87M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.26

Current Price$5.26

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$3.74M

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