CDZI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($5.45)
DCF	$-15.73	-388.7%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$18.03M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 28.7% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 15.06%

Computed WACC: 15.06%

Cost of equity (Re)15.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.05 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)15.91%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)83.45%

Debt weight (D/V)16.55%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-7.44

Current Price$5.45

Upside / Downside-236.5%

Net Debt (used)$86.29M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	20.7%	24.7%	28.7%	32.7%	36.7%
7.0%	$-17.60	$-20.43	$-23.64	$-27.27	$-31.36
8.0%	$-14.18	$-16.41	$-18.93	$-21.79	$-25.00
9.0%	$-11.84	$-13.65	$-15.71	$-18.03	$-20.64
10.0%	$-10.14	$-11.65	$-13.37	$-15.30	$-17.48
11.0%	$-8.85	$-10.14	$-11.60	$-13.24	$-15.09

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-0.49

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $0.34

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$5.45

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 15.06%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 15.06%

Cost of equity (Re)15.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.05 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)15.91%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)83.45%

Debt weight (D/V)16.55%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$5.45

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth28.7%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$18.03M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$5.45

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$23.61M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -22.8×

Net Debt($B)Default: $86.29M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$5.45

Current Price$5.45

Upside / Downside+0.0%

Implied EV$539.25M

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