CE

CE — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($49.73)
DCF$-47.45-195.4%
Graham Number
Reverse DCFimplied g: 21.9%
DDM$2.47-95.0%
EV/EBITDA$53.59+7.8%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $368.62M
Rev: -6.5% / EPS: —
Computed: 6.16%
Computed WACC: 6.16%
Cost of equity (Re)10.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.58%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)29.64%
Debt weight (D/V)70.36%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.06
Current Price$49.73
Upside / Downside-102.1%
Net Debt (used)$11.67B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$-46.94$-34.90$-20.88$-4.66$14.02
8.0%$-57.54$-47.85$-36.58$-23.57$-8.59
9.0%$-64.89$-56.82$-47.45$-36.64$-24.22
10.0%$-70.28$-63.39$-55.42$-46.22$-35.67
11.0%$-74.41$-68.43$-61.51$-53.54$-44.40

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $-10.44
Yahoo: $36.95

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.
Graham Number
Current Price$49.73
Margin of Safety
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 6.16%
Computed WACC: 6.16%
Cost of equity (Re)10.34%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.10 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.58%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)29.64%
Debt weight (D/V)70.36%

Results

Current Price$49.73
Implied Near-term FCF Growth11.2%
Historical Revenue Growth-6.5%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)$368.62M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.12

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$2.47
Current Price$49.73
Upside / Downside-95.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.56B
Current: 11.2×
Default: $11.67B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$53.59
Current Price$49.73
Upside / Downside+7.8%
Implied EV$17.54B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$5.67B$8.67B$11.67B$14.67B$17.67B
7.2x$51.29$23.91$-3.47$-30.85$-58.23
9.2x$79.82$52.44$25.06$-2.32$-29.70
11.2x$108.35$80.97$53.59$26.21$-1.17
13.2x$136.88$109.50$82.12$54.74$27.36
15.2x$165.41$138.03$110.65$83.27$55.89