CEG

CEG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($329.88)
DCF$80.50-75.6%
Graham Number$87.91-73.4%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 35.8%
DDM$35.23-89.3%
EV/EBITDA$330.81+0.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.26B
Rev: 12.9% / EPS: -48.9%
Computed: 9.77%
Computed WACC: 9.77%
Cost of equity (Re)10.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.63%
Debt weight (D/V)7.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$69.50
Current Price$329.88
Upside / Downside-78.9%
Net Debt (used)$5.86B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term4.9%8.9%12.9%16.9%20.9%
7.0%$85.75$105.30$127.83$153.69$183.23
8.0%$66.37$81.96$99.91$120.49$143.97
9.0%$53.01$65.87$80.66$97.61$116.94
10.0%$43.24$54.12$66.62$80.92$97.22
11.0%$35.81$45.18$55.94$68.24$82.24

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $7.39
Yahoo: $46.48

Results

Graham Number$87.91
Current Price$329.88
Margin of Safety-73.4%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.77%
Computed WACC: 9.77%
Cost of equity (Re)10.55%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.14 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)92.63%
Debt weight (D/V)7.37%

Results

Current Price$329.88
Implied Near-term FCF Growth38.5%
Historical Revenue Growth12.9%
Historical Earnings Growth-48.9%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.26B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.71

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$35.23
Current Price$329.88
Upside / Downside-89.3%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $5.63B
Current: 22.3×
Default: $5.86B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$330.81
Current Price$329.88
Upside / Downside+0.3%
Implied EV$125.60B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$3.86B$4.86B$5.86B$6.86B$7.86B
18.3x$274.10$271.34$268.57$265.81$263.05
20.3x$305.21$302.45$299.69$296.93$294.16
22.3x$336.33$333.57$330.81$328.04$325.28
24.3x$367.45$364.69$361.92$359.16$356.40
26.3x$398.57$395.80$393.04$390.28$387.52