CELH

CELH — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($47.72)
DCF$-1.16-102.4%
Graham Number$3.52-92.6%
Reverse DCF
DDM
EV/EBITDA$55.91+17.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 117.2% / EPS: —
Computed: 9.04%
Computed WACC: 9.04%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.63%
Debt weight (D/V)5.37%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-1.16
Current Price$47.72
Upside / Downside-102.4%
Net Debt (used)$299.43M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term109.2%113.2%117.2%121.2%125.2%
7.0%$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16
8.0%$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16
9.0%$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16
10.0%$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16
11.0%$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16$-1.16

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.12
Yahoo: $4.60

Results

Graham Number$3.52
Current Price$47.72
Margin of Safety-92.6%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.04%
Computed WACC: 9.04%
Cost of equity (Re)9.56%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.96 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)94.63%
Debt weight (D/V)5.37%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$47.72
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth117.2%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$47.72
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $577.85M
Current: 25.5×
Default: $299.43M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$55.91
Current Price$47.72
Upside / Downside+17.2%
Implied EV$14.71B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.70B-$700.57M$299.43M$1.30B$2.30B
21.5x$54.70$50.82$46.94$43.06$39.18
23.5x$59.18$55.31$51.43$47.55$43.67
25.5x$63.67$59.79$55.91$52.03$48.15
27.5x$68.15$64.27$60.39$56.51$52.63
29.5x$72.63$68.75$64.88$61.00$57.12