CF

CF — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($104.71)
DCF$895.03+754.8%
Graham Number$79.74-23.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 0.6%
DDM$41.20-60.7%
EV/EBITDA$123.82+18.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.31B
Rev: 22.8% / EPS: 37.1%
Computed: 7.34%
Computed WACC: 7.34%
Cost of equity (Re)8.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.01%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.79%
Debt weight (D/V)18.21%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1289.29
Current Price$104.71
Upside / Downside+1131.3%
Net Debt (used)$1.65B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term29.1%33.1%37.1%41.1%45.1%
7.0%$1045.68$1215.51$1406.73$1621.33$1861.39
8.0%$821.26$954.18$1103.80$1271.64$1459.35
9.0%$667.73$775.44$896.62$1032.52$1184.45
10.0%$556.62$646.09$746.72$859.53$985.61
11.0%$472.85$548.59$633.75$729.17$835.79

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $8.97
Yahoo: $31.51

Results

Graham Number$79.74
Current Price$104.71
Margin of Safety-23.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 7.34%
Computed WACC: 7.34%
Cost of equity (Re)8.09%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.69 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)5.01%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)81.79%
Debt weight (D/V)18.21%

Results

Current Price$104.71
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-3.9%
Historical Revenue Growth22.8%
Historical Earnings Growth37.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.31B
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $2.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$41.20
Current Price$104.71
Upside / Downside-60.7%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.24B
Current: 6.4×
Default: $1.65B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$123.82
Current Price$104.71
Upside / Downside+18.2%
Implied EV$20.68B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt$1.65B$1.65B$1.65B$1.65B$1.65B
2.4x$39.48$39.48$39.48$39.48$39.48
4.4x$81.65$81.65$81.65$81.65$81.65
6.4x$123.82$123.82$123.82$123.82$123.82
8.4x$165.99$165.99$165.99$165.99$165.99
10.4x$208.15$208.15$208.15$208.15$208.15