CFR

CFR — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($140.21)
DCF$60.73-56.7%
Graham Number$125.02-10.8%
Reverse DCF
DDM$82.40-41.2%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 9.5% / EPS: 8.5%
Computed: 4.88%
Computed WACC: 4.88%
Cost of equity (Re)7.73%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.14%
Debt weight (D/V)36.86%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$60.73
Current Price$140.21
Upside / Downside-56.7%
Net Debt (used)-$3.84B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1.5%5.5%9.5%13.5%17.5%
7.0%$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73
8.0%$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73
9.0%$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73
10.0%$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73
11.0%$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73$60.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $9.93
Yahoo: $69.96

Results

Graham Number$125.02
Current Price$140.21
Margin of Safety-10.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 4.88%
Computed WACC: 4.88%
Cost of equity (Re)7.73%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.62 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)63.14%
Debt weight (D/V)36.86%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$140.21
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth9.5%
Historical Earnings Growth8.5%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $4.00

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$82.40
Current Price$140.21
Upside / Downside-41.2%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: -$3.84B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$60.73
Current Price$140.21
Upside / Downside-56.7%
Implied EV$0