CG

CG — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($52.41)
DCF$-29.90-157.1%
Graham Number$25.41-51.5%
Reverse DCF
DDM$28.84-45.0%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Rev: 93.9% / EPS: 70.2%
Computed: 9.32%
Computed WACC: 9.32%
Cost of equity (Re)15.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.89%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.62%
Debt weight (D/V)42.38%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-29.90
Current Price$52.41
Upside / Downside-157.1%
Net Debt (used)$10.69B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term85.9%89.9%93.9%97.9%101.9%
7.0%$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90
8.0%$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90
9.0%$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90
10.0%$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90
11.0%$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90$-29.90

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.78
Yahoo: $16.12

Results

Graham Number$25.41
Current Price$52.41
Margin of Safety-51.5%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 9.32%
Computed WACC: 9.32%
Cost of equity (Re)15.65%(Rf 4.30% + β 2.06 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.89%(interest expense ÷ avg debt (SEC))
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)57.62%
Debt weight (D/V)42.38%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$52.41
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth93.9%
Historical Earnings Growth70.2%
Base FCF (TTM)
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.40

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$28.84
Current Price$52.41
Upside / Downside-45.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $10.69B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-29.90
Current Price$52.41
Upside / Downside-157.1%
Implied EV$0