CGAU

CGAU — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($21.03)
DCF$-0.88-104.2%
Graham Number$25.67+22.0%
Reverse DCF
DDM$4.12-80.4%
EV/EBITDA$21.03+0.0%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$8.26M
Rev: 32.8% / EPS: —
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-0.88
Current Price$21.03
Upside / Downside-104.2%
Net Debt (used)-$522.11M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term24.8%28.8%32.8%36.8%40.8%
7.0%$-1.39$-2.06$-2.81$-3.65$-4.60
8.0%$-0.56$-1.08$-1.67$-2.33$-3.07
9.0%$0.02$-0.40$-0.88$-1.42$-2.02
10.0%$0.44$0.08$-0.32$-0.76$-1.26
11.0%$0.75$0.45$0.11$-0.27$-0.69

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.84
Yahoo: $10.31

Results

Graham Number$25.67
Current Price$21.03
Margin of Safety+22.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$21.03
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth32.8%
Historical Earnings Growth
Base FCF (TTM)-$8.26M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.20

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$4.12
Current Price$21.03
Upside / Downside-80.4%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $712.99M
Current: 5.2×
Default: -$522.11M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$21.03
Current Price$21.03
Upside / Downside+0.0%
Implied EV$3.69B
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.52B-$1.52B-$522.11M$477.89M$1.48B
1.2x$16.77$11.78$6.78$1.78$-3.22
3.2x$23.90$18.90$13.90$8.91$3.91
5.2x$31.03$26.03$21.03$16.03$11.04
7.2x$38.15$33.16$28.16$23.16$18.16
9.2x$45.28$40.28$35.28$30.29$25.29