CGBD

CGBD — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.17)
DCF$-48.31-532.5%
Graham Number$19.22+72.1%
Reverse DCF
DDM$32.96+195.1%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: -$50.51M
Rev: 18.7% / EPS: -40.5%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-48.27
Current Price$11.17
Upside / Downside-532.1%
Net Debt (used)$1.46B
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term10.7%14.7%18.7%22.7%26.7%
7.0%$-50.54$-56.05$-62.35$-69.55$-77.72
8.0%$-44.64$-49.01$-54.01$-59.70$-66.17
9.0%$-40.58$-44.17$-48.27$-52.94$-58.23
10.0%$-37.63$-40.64$-44.09$-48.01$-52.46
11.0%$-35.38$-37.97$-40.92$-44.28$-48.08

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.01
Yahoo: $16.26

Results

Graham Number$19.22
Current Price$11.17
Margin of Safety+72.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.
Current Price$11.17
Implied Near-term FCF Growth
Historical Revenue Growth18.7%
Historical Earnings Growth-40.5%
Base FCF (TTM)-$50.51M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.60

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$32.96
Current Price$11.17
Upside / Downside+195.1%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $1.46B

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-20.60
Current Price$11.17
Upside / Downside-284.4%
Implied EV$0