CGO

CGO — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($12.56)
DCF$1267.79+9993.8%
Graham Number$25.88+106.0%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 22.1%
DDM$19.78+57.5%
EV/EBITDA

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $3.82M
Rev: -32.5% / EPS: 113.0%
Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$1267.79
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside+9993.8%
Net Debt (used)$56.26M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term105.0%109.0%113.0%117.0%121.0%
7.0%$1724.53$1899.68$2088.74$2292.53$2511.90
8.0%$1320.47$1454.64$1599.46$1755.57$1923.59
9.0%$1046.56$1152.95$1267.79$1391.56$1524.79
10.0%$850.29$936.78$1030.13$1130.75$1239.05
11.0%$703.91$775.56$852.90$936.24$1025.95

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $2.27
Yahoo: $13.11

Results

Graham Number$25.88
Current Price$12.56
Margin of Safety+106.0%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Default: 9% (no SEC data)

Results

Current Price$12.56
Implied Near-term FCF Growth22.1%
Historical Revenue Growth-32.5%
Historical Earnings Growth113.0%
Base FCF (TTM)$3.82M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $0.96

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$19.78
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside+57.5%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: —
Current: —×
Default: $56.26M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$-5.72
Current Price$12.56
Upside / Downside-145.6%
Implied EV$0