CGON — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

Model	Intrinsic Value	vs Price ($56.69)
DCF	$-6965768.38	-12287572.9%
Graham Number	—	—
Reverse DCF	—	—
DDM	—	—
EV/EBITDA	—	—

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Base FCF($B)Yahoo: -$87.62M

Near-term growth (yrs 1–5)(%)Rev: 409.2% / EPS: —

Long-term growth (yrs 6–10)(%)

Terminal growth rate(%)

WACC(%)Computed: 10.83%

Computed WACC: 10.83%

Cost of equity (Re)10.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.85%

Debt weight (D/V)0.15%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$-4723078.30

Current Price$56.69

Upside / Downside-8331513.5%

Net Debt (used)-$735.13M

Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)

WACC \ Near-term	401.2%	405.2%	409.2%	413.2%	417.2%
7.0%	$-10870910.96	$-11311679.51	$-11766630.54	$-12236103.60	$-12720443.59
8.0%	$-8221516.62	$-8554862.32	$-8898933.95	$-9253988.30	$-9620286.21
9.0%	$-6435512.39	$-6696442.48	$-6965768.38	$-7243691.09	$-7530414.80
10.0%	$-5163649.07	$-5373010.04	$-5589107.49	$-5812102.67	$-6042159.42
11.0%	$-4221378.65	$-4392534.26	$-4569197.00	$-4751498.72	$-4939573.35

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

MultiplierGraham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)

EPS (trailing)($)Yahoo: $-2.05

Book Value / share($)Yahoo: $9.33

Results

Graham Number requires positive EPS and positive Book Value per share. EPS is zero or negative.

Graham Number—

Current Price$56.69

Margin of Safety—

Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

WACC(%)Computed: 10.83%

Terminal growth rate(%)

Computed WACC: 10.83%

Cost of equity (Re)10.85%(Rf 4.30% + β 1.19 × ERP 5.50%)

Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)

Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)

Equity weight (E/V)99.85%

Debt weight (D/V)0.15%

Results

Reverse DCF requires positive TTM free cash flow.

Current Price$56.69

Implied Near-term FCF Growth—

Historical Revenue Growth409.2%

Historical Earnings Growth—

Base FCF (TTM)-$87.62M

Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Annual dividend D0($/share)Yahoo: —

Dividend growth rate (g)(%)

Required return (r)(%)

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.

DDM Intrinsic Value / share—

Current Price$56.69

Upside / Downside—

Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

EBITDA($B)Yahoo: -$189.33M

Target EV/EBITDA multipleCurrent: -21.9×

Net Debt($B)Default: -$735.13M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$59.02

Current Price$56.69

Upside / Downside+4.1%

Implied EV$4.14B

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