CHCI

CHCI — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($11.40)
DCF$3.94-65.4%
Graham Number$12.97+13.8%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 33.5%
DDM
EV/EBITDA$11.65+2.2%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.04M
Rev: 2.5% / EPS: -78.3%
Computed: 3.63%
Computed WACC: 3.63%
Cost of equity (Re)3.81%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.37%
Debt weight (D/V)4.63%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$12.88
Current Price$11.40
Upside / Downside+13.0%
Net Debt (used)-$20.58M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term-3.0%1.0%5.0%9.0%13.0%
7.0%$3.96$4.34$4.78$5.29$5.87
8.0%$3.63$3.93$4.28$4.69$5.16
9.0%$3.39$3.65$3.94$4.28$4.67
10.0%$3.22$3.44$3.69$3.98$4.31
11.0%$3.10$3.28$3.50$3.75$4.04

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $1.34
Yahoo: $5.58

Results

Graham Number$12.97
Current Price$11.40
Margin of Safety+13.8%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.63%
Computed WACC: 3.63%
Cost of equity (Re)3.81%(Rf 4.30% + β -0.09 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)95.37%
Debt weight (D/V)4.63%

Results

Current Price$11.40
Implied Near-term FCF Growth2.9%
Historical Revenue Growth2.5%
Historical Earnings Growth-78.3%
Base FCF (TTM)$1.04M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: —

Results

This company does not pay a dividend. DDM is not applicable — the intrinsic value shown uses D0 = $0 unless you enter a hypothetical dividend above.
DDM Intrinsic Value / share
Current Price$11.40
Upside / Downside
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $9.58M
Current: 9.9×
Default: -$20.58M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$11.65
Current Price$11.40
Upside / Downside+2.2%
Implied EV$94.42M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$2.02B-$1.02B-$20.58M$979.42M$1.98B
5.9x$210.46$109.12$7.77$-93.57$-194.92
7.9x$212.40$111.06$9.71$-91.63$-192.97
9.9x$214.34$113.00$11.65$-89.69$-191.03
11.9x$216.28$114.94$13.60$-87.75$-189.09
13.9x$218.23$116.88$15.54$-85.81$-187.15