CHCT

CHCT — Valuation Models

Interactive models with editable assumptions. All calculations run client-side.

Valuation Summary

ModelIntrinsic Valuevs Price ($17.32)
DCF$105372325751.76+608385252508.3%
Graham Number$5.35-69.1%
Reverse DCFimplied g: 1.6%
DDM$39.14+126.0%
EV/EBITDA$16.40-5.3%

Values reflect default assumptions. Adjust inputs in each model below to update.

1 — Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $70.91M
Rev: 5.6% / EPS: 1193.1%
Computed: 3.93%
Computed WACC: 3.93%
Cost of equity (Re)8.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.00%
Debt weight (D/V)52.00%

Results

Intrinsic Value / share$728764052922.23
Current Price$17.32
Upside / Downside+4207644647257.0%
Net Debt (used)$526.16M
Sensitivity: WACC (rows) × Near-term g (cols)
WACC \ Near-term1185.1%1189.1%1193.1%1197.1%1201.1%
7.0%$173661929223.38$176381505390.88$179135046575.47$181922869932.42$184745294585.22
8.0%$130897679621.26$132947560124.03$135023041757.52$137124363577.51$139251766123.32
9.0%$102116319154.54$103715478495.88$105334609872.88$106973899778.50$108633535863.03
10.0%$81656614148.45$82935370916.48$84230098185.09$85540945082.10$86868061660.76
11.0%$66527641870.54$67569476277.24$68624322240.97$69692301259.78$70773535585.73

2 — Graham Number

Assumptions

Graham used 22.5 (15× P/E × 1.5× P/B)
Yahoo: $0.08
Yahoo: $15.93

Results

Graham Number$5.35
Current Price$17.32
Margin of Safety-69.1%
Formula: √(22.5 × max(0,EPS) × max(0,BVPS))

3 — Reverse DCF (Implied Growth)

Assumptions

Computed: 3.93%
Computed WACC: 3.93%
Cost of equity (Re)8.19%(Rf 4.30% + β 0.71 × ERP 5.50%)
Cost of debt (Rd)0.00%(no debt / unavailable → 0%)
Tax rate (T)21.00%(US statutory fallback)
Equity weight (E/V)48.00%
Debt weight (D/V)52.00%

Results

Current Price$17.32
Implied Near-term FCF Growth-18.5%
Historical Revenue Growth5.6%
Historical Earnings Growth1193.1%
Base FCF (TTM)$70.91M
Implied growth is the FCF growth rate (yrs 1–5) that makes the DCF intrinsic value equal the current price. Long-term growth is set to half the implied near-term rate.

4 — Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Assumptions

Yahoo: $1.90

Results

DDM Intrinsic Value / share$39.14
Current Price$17.32
Upside / Downside+126.0%
Formula: D0 × (1+g) / (r − g)

5 — EV/EBITDA Multiple

Assumptions

Yahoo: $75.12M
Current: 13.2×
Default: $526.16M

Results

Implied Equity Value / share$16.40
Current Price$17.32
Upside / Downside-5.3%
Implied EV$994.70M
Sensitivity: EV/EBITDA multiple (rows) × Net Debt (cols)
Mult \ Net Debt-$1.47B-$473.84M$526.16M$1.53B$2.53B
9.2x$75.88$40.88$5.88$-29.12$-64.12
11.2x$81.14$46.14$11.14$-23.86$-58.86
13.2x$86.40$51.40$16.40$-18.60$-53.60
15.2x$91.66$56.66$21.66$-13.34$-48.34
17.2x$96.91$61.91$26.91$-8.08$-43.08